WindCast · Bay of St Tropez (FRA)

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Wind, radar & satellite

08162535

Coming hours — best model, corrected

Best model now: UKMO · bias -0.2 kn / +2°
TimeModel (raw)CorrectedGust (corr.)
15:00 272° / 16 kn 270° / 16 kn 31 kn
16:00 273° / 14 kn 271° / 14 kn 28 kn
17:00 271° / 13 kn 269° / 14 kn 27 kn
18:00 266° / 13 kn 264° / 13 kn 26 kn
19:00 263° / 12 kn 261° / 12 kn 24 kn
20:00 263° / 12 kn 261° / 12 kn 23 kn

Model bias now — rolling 3 h · compare models

Model bias spread
TWSTWD TWSTWD
1UKMO3/7 -0.2 +2° ±3.2 ±6°
ICON-CH1 (MeteoSwiss, 1 km)1/7 -1.5 +7° ±3.0 ±6°
ICON-CH2 (MeteoSwiss, 2 km)1/7 -0.4 +6° ±2.9 ±5°
4ICON-2I (ItaliaMeteo)0/7 -0.7 +6° ±3.5 ±7°
5AROME/ARPEGE (MF)0/7 -1.0 +6° ±4.8 ±7°
6GFS (NOAA)2/7 +0.8 +7° ±3.1 ±10°
7ECMWF IFS0/7 -4.0 -4° ±2.6 ±10°
8ICON (DWD)0/7 -1.8 +3° ±4.9 ±9°
⚠ bias shifting — conditions are changing; lean on the observations
Positive: model too strong / veered. Correction in Coming hours = forecast − bias.
4/6 behind a model = how often it ranked first over the last 6 hours.
CAP CAMARAT
↓280° 16kn
gust 28 kn · ▬ · 15 min ago
FREJUS
↓270° 15kn
gust 29 kn · ▼ -3 · 9 min ago
LE DRAMONT
↓270° 38kn
gust 48 kn · ▲ +12 · 15 min ago
Cannes/Mandelieu Arpt
↓150° 4kn
gust – kn · ▬ · 9 min ago
Cannes
↓50° 4kn
gust – kn · ▬ · 69 min ago
Toulon/Hyères Arpt
↓260° 13kn
gust – kn · ▼ -3 · 9 min ago

Wind last 6 hours — stations · highlighted: FREJUS — show all stations again

windgrafiek

Run monitor

ModelReceivedLargest shift (12 h)
ICON-CH1 (MeteoSwiss, 1 km) NEW Sun 15:02 Δ 2.6 kn / 13°
ICON-CH2 (MeteoSwiss, 2 km) Sun 09:50 Δ 4.1 kn / 11°
ICON-2I (ItaliaMeteo) Sun 03:15 Δ 2.9 kn / 12°
AROME/ARPEGE (MF) NEW Sun 15:02 Δ 1.8 kn / 7°
ECMWF IFS NEW Sun 14:28 Δ 1.0 kn / 3°
GFS (NOAA) Sun 12:38 Δ 5.7 kn / 45°
ICON (DWD) NEW Sun 15:02 Δ 2.4 kn / 12°
UKMO NEW Sun 15:02 Δ 0.9 kn / 13°
A large Δ means the model has substantially changed its mind versus its previous run — a reason to review the forecast.