WindCast · Bay of St Tropez (FRA)

● updated 11:26 · auto-refreshes every 10 min · NL · log in · subscribe
St Tropez is temporary free, subscribe for other venues. View subscriptions ×

Wind, radar & satellite

08162535

Coming hours — best model, corrected

Best model now: UKMO · bias +2.5 kn / -4°
TimeModel (raw)CorrectedGust (corr.)
11:00 269° / 12 kn 273° / 9 kn 18 kn
12:00 270° / 14 kn 274° / 12 kn 24 kn
13:00 274° / 15 kn 278° / 13 kn 25 kn
14:00 279° / 14 kn 283° / 12 kn 24 kn
15:00 276° / 14 kn 280° / 12 kn 23 kn
16:00 273° / 13 kn 277° / 11 kn 21 kn

Model bias now — rolling 3 h · compare models

Model bias spread
TWSTWD TWSTWD
1UKMO5/7 +2.5 -4° ±2.2 ±12°
GFS (NOAA)2/7 +0.3 +17° ±1.9 ±17°
ICON-2I (ItaliaMeteo)0/7 +0.4 +17° ±3.1 ±7°
4AROME/ARPEGE (MF)0/7 +2.8 +1° ±3.5 ±7°
5ICON-CH2 (MeteoSwiss, 2 km)0/7 +1.6 +14° ±3.2 ±8°
6ICON (DWD)0/7 -3.1 +19° ±3.7 ±8°
7ICON-CH1 (MeteoSwiss, 1 km)0/7 +2.1 +18° ±3.5 ±10°
8ECMWF IFS0/7 -4.1 -52° ±2.7 ±16°
⚠ bias shifting — conditions are changing; lean on the observations
Positive: model too strong / veered. Correction in Coming hours = forecast − bias.
4/6 behind a model = how often it ranked first over the last 6 hours.
CAP CAMARAT
↓280° 12kn
gust 26 kn · ▲ +5 · 20 min ago
FREJUS
↓280° 8kn
gust 14 kn · ▬ · 14 min ago
LE DRAMONT
↓290° 18kn
gust 24 kn · ▲ +9 · 20 min ago
Cannes/Mandelieu Arpt
VRB 2kn
gust – kn · ▬ · 38 min ago
Cannes
↓330° 2kn
gust – kn · ▬ · 1 h 38 min ago
Toulon/Hyères Arpt
↓260° 13kn
gust – kn · ▲ +3 · 38 min ago

Wind last 6 hours — stations

windgrafiek

Run monitor

ModelReceivedLargest shift (12 h)
ICON-CH1 (MeteoSwiss, 1 km) Sun 09:01 Δ 7.8 kn / 20°
ICON-CH2 (MeteoSwiss, 2 km) Sun 09:50 Δ 4.1 kn / 11°
ICON-2I (ItaliaMeteo) Sun 03:15 Δ 2.9 kn / 12°
AROME/ARPEGE (MF) NEW Sun 10:50 Δ 2.5 kn / 3°
ECMWF IFS NEW Sun 10:50 Δ 1.7 kn / 6°
GFS (NOAA) Sun 06:32 Δ 1.7 kn / 7°
ICON (DWD) Sun 09:01 Δ 2.6 kn / 6°
UKMO NEW Sun 10:50 Δ 0.9 kn / 7°
A large Δ means the model has substantially changed its mind versus its previous run — a reason to review the forecast.