WindCast · Bay of St Tropez (FRA)

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Wind, radar & satellite

08162535

Coming hours — best model, corrected

Best model now: UKMO · bias -0.0 kn / +2°
TimeModel (raw)CorrectedGust (corr.)
14:00 279° / 14 kn 277° / 14 kn 29 kn
15:00 276° / 14 kn 274° / 14 kn 28 kn
16:00 273° / 13 kn 271° / 13 kn 26 kn
17:00 270° / 13 kn 268° / 13 kn 26 kn
18:00 267° / 12 kn 265° / 12 kn 25 kn
19:00 267° / 12 kn 265° / 12 kn 24 kn

Model bias now — rolling 3 h · compare models

Model bias spread
TWSTWD TWSTWD
1UKMO4/7 -0.0 +2° ±2.9 ±7°
GFS (NOAA)2/7 +0.2 +7° ±2.2 ±10°
ICON-CH2 (MeteoSwiss, 2 km)1/7 -1.3 +8° ±3.2 ±5°
ICON-2I (ItaliaMeteo)0/7 -1.0 +8° ±3.5 ±9°
5AROME/ARPEGE (MF)0/7 -1.0 +8° ±3.7 ±9°
6ICON-CH1 (MeteoSwiss, 1 km)0/7 -2.3 +12° ±3.6 ±7°
7ECMWF IFS0/7 -4.7 -4° ±2.4 ±14°
8ICON (DWD)0/7 -4.5 +8° ±5.8 ±7°
bias stable across the window ✓ — correction reliable
Positive: model too strong / veered. Correction in Coming hours = forecast − bias.
4/6 behind a model = how often it ranked first over the last 6 hours.
CAP CAMARAT
↓280° 15kn
gust 28 kn · ▲ +4 · 16 min ago
FREJUS
↓280° 17kn
gust 30 kn · ▲ +5 · 10 min ago
LE DRAMONT
↓270° 26kn
gust 38 kn · ▬ · 16 min ago
Cannes/Mandelieu Arpt
↓110° 5kn
gust – kn · ▬ · 40 min ago
Cannes
↓140° 6kn
gust – kn · ▬ · 70 min ago
Toulon/Hyères Arpt
↓260° 16kn
gust – kn · ▬ · 10 min ago

Wind last 6 hours — stations · highlighted: LE DRAMONT — show all stations again

windgrafiek

Run monitor

ModelReceivedLargest shift (12 h)
ICON-CH1 (MeteoSwiss, 1 km) Sun 12:00 Δ 1.4 kn / 7°
ICON-CH2 (MeteoSwiss, 2 km) Sun 09:50 Δ 4.1 kn / 11°
ICON-2I (ItaliaMeteo) Sun 03:15 Δ 2.9 kn / 12°
AROME/ARPEGE (MF) NEW Sun 13:51 Δ 2.4 kn / 5°
ECMWF IFS Sun 10:50 Δ 1.7 kn / 6°
GFS (NOAA) Sun 12:38 Δ 5.7 kn / 45°
ICON (DWD) Sun 12:00 Δ 3.7 kn / 13°
UKMO Sun 10:50 Δ 0.9 kn / 7°
A large Δ means the model has substantially changed its mind versus its previous run — a reason to review the forecast.