WindCast · Bay of St Tropez (FRA)

● updated 12:38 · auto-refreshes every 10 min · NL · log in · subscribe
St Tropez is temporary free, subscribe for other venues. View subscriptions ×

Wind, radar & satellite

08162535

Coming hours — best model, corrected

Best model now: UKMO · bias +1.9 kn / -4°
TimeModel (raw)CorrectedGust (corr.)
12:00 270° / 14 kn 274° / 12 kn 25 kn
13:00 274° / 15 kn 278° / 13 kn 26 kn
14:00 279° / 14 kn 283° / 12 kn 25 kn
15:00 276° / 14 kn 280° / 12 kn 24 kn
16:00 273° / 13 kn 277° / 11 kn 22 kn
17:00 270° / 13 kn 274° / 11 kn 22 kn

Model bias now — rolling 3 h · compare models

Model bias spread
TWSTWD TWSTWD
1UKMO5/7 +1.9 -4° ±2.5 ±10°
GFS (NOAA)2/7 +0.1 +2° ±2.3 ±15°
ICON-2I (ItaliaMeteo)0/7 +0.4 +9° ±2.6 ±7°
ICON-CH2 (MeteoSwiss, 2 km)0/7 +0.0 +11° ±3.4 ±5°
5ICON-CH1 (MeteoSwiss, 1 km)0/7 +1.0 +13° ±3.9 ±7°
6AROME/ARPEGE (MF)0/7 +1.2 +8° ±3.7 ±9°
7ICON (DWD)0/7 -3.5 +12° ±3.5 ±10°
8ECMWF IFS0/7 -4.5 -26° ±2.3 ±32°
⚠ bias shifting — conditions are changing; lean on the observations
Positive: model too strong / veered. Correction in Coming hours = forecast − bias.
4/6 behind a model = how often it ranked first over the last 6 hours.
CAP CAMARAT
↓300° 9kn
gust 18 kn · ▼ -7 · 17 min ago
FREJUS
↓280° 13kn
gust 26 kn · ▲ +4 · 17 min ago
LE DRAMONT
↓260° 22kn
gust 35 kn · ▲ +4 · 17 min ago
Cannes/Mandelieu Arpt
↓160° 6kn
gust – kn · ▲ +3 · 17 min ago
Cannes
↓230° 2kn
gust – kn · ▬ · 1 h 47 min ago
Toulon/Hyères Arpt
↓260° 18kn
gust – kn · ▲ +6 · 17 min ago

Wind last 6 hours — stations · highlighted: Toulon/Hyères Arpt — show all stations again

windgrafiek

Run monitor

ModelReceivedLargest shift (12 h)
ICON-CH1 (MeteoSwiss, 1 km) NEW Sun 12:00 Δ 1.4 kn / 7°
ICON-CH2 (MeteoSwiss, 2 km) Sun 09:50 Δ 4.1 kn / 11°
ICON-2I (ItaliaMeteo) Sun 03:15 Δ 2.9 kn / 12°
AROME/ARPEGE (MF) NEW Sun 12:38 Δ 3.9 kn / 10°
ECMWF IFS Sun 10:50 Δ 1.7 kn / 6°
GFS (NOAA) NEW Sun 12:38 Δ 5.7 kn / 45°
ICON (DWD) NEW Sun 12:00 Δ 3.7 kn / 13°
UKMO Sun 10:50 Δ 0.9 kn / 7°
A large Δ means the model has substantially changed its mind versus its previous run — a reason to review the forecast.