WindCast · Bay of St Tropez (FRA)

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Wind, radar & satellite

08162535

Coming hours — best model, corrected

Best model now: UKMO · bias +0.3 kn / +1°
TimeModel (raw)CorrectedGust (corr.)
13:00 274° / 15 kn 273° / 15 kn 30 kn
14:00 279° / 14 kn 278° / 14 kn 28 kn
15:00 276° / 14 kn 275° / 14 kn 28 kn
16:00 273° / 13 kn 272° / 13 kn 25 kn
17:00 270° / 13 kn 269° / 12 kn 25 kn
18:00 267° / 12 kn 266° / 12 kn 24 kn

Model bias now — rolling 3 h · compare models

Model bias spread
TWSTWD TWSTWD
1UKMO4/6 +0.3 +1° ±3.0 ±9°
GFS (NOAA)2/6 +0.2 +7° ±2.1 ±10°
ICON-2I (ItaliaMeteo)0/6 -0.6 +8° ±3.3 ±9°
ICON-CH2 (MeteoSwiss, 2 km)0/6 -1.4 +10° ±3.6 ±5°
ICON-CH1 (MeteoSwiss, 1 km)0/6 -2.1 +13° ±3.6 ±7°
6AROME/ARPEGE (MF)0/6 -0.6 +8° ±4.1 ±9°
7ECMWF IFS0/6 -4.6 -4° ±2.5 ±14°
8ICON (DWD)0/6 -4.4 +8° ±5.7 ±8°
⚠ bias shifting — conditions are changing; lean on the observations
Positive: model too strong / veered. Correction in Coming hours = forecast − bias.
4/6 behind a model = how often it ranked first over the last 6 hours.
CAP CAMARAT
↓280° 15kn
gust 27 kn · ▲ +6 · 28 min ago
FREJUS
↓270° 18kn
gust 29 kn · ▲ +4 · 10 min ago
LE DRAMONT
↓280° 28kn
gust 42 kn · ▬ · 16 min ago
Cannes/Mandelieu Arpt
↓110° 5kn
gust – kn · ▬ · 28 min ago
Cannes
↓140° 6kn
gust – kn · ▬ · 58 min ago
Toulon/Hyères Arpt
↓250° 13kn
gust – kn · ▼ -5 · 28 min ago

Wind last 6 hours — stations

windgrafiek

Run monitor

ModelReceivedLargest shift (12 h)
ICON-CH1 (MeteoSwiss, 1 km) Sun 12:00 Δ 1.4 kn / 7°
ICON-CH2 (MeteoSwiss, 2 km) Sun 09:50 Δ 4.1 kn / 11°
ICON-2I (ItaliaMeteo) Sun 03:15 Δ 2.9 kn / 12°
AROME/ARPEGE (MF) NEW Sun 13:51 Δ 2.4 kn / 5°
ECMWF IFS Sun 10:50 Δ 1.7 kn / 6°
GFS (NOAA) Sun 12:38 Δ 5.7 kn / 45°
ICON (DWD) Sun 12:00 Δ 3.7 kn / 13°
UKMO Sun 10:50 Δ 0.9 kn / 7°
A large Δ means the model has substantially changed its mind versus its previous run — a reason to review the forecast.