WindCast · Medemblik

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Wind, radar & satellite

08162535

Coming hours — best model, corrected

Best model now: AROME/ARPEGE (MF) · bias -0.2 kn / -3°
TimeModel (raw)CorrectedGust (corr.)
21:00 261° / 6 kn 264° / 7 kn 8 kn
22:00 260° / 6 kn 263° / 7 kn 8 kn
23:00 254° / 4 kn 257° / 4 kn 6 kn
00:00 195° / 4 kn 198° / 4 kn 6 kn
01:00 222° / 5 kn 225° / 5 kn 7 kn
02:00 201° / 5 kn 204° / 5 kn 6 kn
Stavoren IJsselmeer
↓298° 7kn
gust – kn · 50 min ago
Stavoren
↓304° 6kn
gust 9 kn · ▬ · 10 min ago
Houtribdijk
↓291° 6kn
gust 10 kn · ▬ · 10 min ago
Markermeer Trintelzand
↓289° 9kn
gust – kn · ▲ +3 · 40 min ago
Rotterdamsehoek IJsselmeer
↓257° 5kn
gust – kn · ▬ · 20 min ago
Markermeer, midden
↓284° 7kn
gust – kn · 20 min ago
De Kooy
↓286° 4kn
gust 6 kn · ▬ · 10 min ago
IJmuiden
↓286° 8kn
gust 10 kn · ▬ · 10 min ago

Wind last 6 hours — stations

windgrafiek

Model bias now — rolling 3 h · compare models

Model bias spreiding
TWSTWD TWSTWD
1AROME/ARPEGE (MF)3/7 -0.2 -3° ±0.9 kn ±7°
2Harmonie (KNMI)3/7 -0.5 +0° ±1.2 kn ±8°
3ICON (DWD)1/7 -0.5 -4° ±1.4 kn ±8°
4UKMO0/7 +0.1 +4° ±1.6 kn ±8°
5GFS (NOAA)0/7 -1.1 -12° ±1.4 kn ±9°
6ECMWF IFS0/7 -2.3 -12° ±1.3 kn ±7°
⚠ bias shifting — conditions are changing; lean on the observations
Positive: model too strong / veered. Correction in Coming hours = forecast − bias.
4/6 behind a model = how often it ranked first over the last 6 hours.

Run monitor

ModelReceivedLargest shift (12 h)
Harmonie (KNMI) NEW Thu 20:47 Δ 2.0 kn / 46°
AROME/ARPEGE (MF) NEW Thu 21:23 Δ 0.9 kn / 16°
ECMWF IFS Thu 15:43 Δ 0.8 kn / 18°
GFS (NOAA) Thu 19:27 Δ 1.9 kn / 18°
ICON (DWD) Thu 19:00 Δ 1.3 kn / 22°
UKMO NEW Thu 20:47 Δ 0.8 kn / 32°
A large Δ means the model has substantially changed its mind versus its previous run — a reason to review the forecast.