WindCast · Medemblik

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Wind, radar & satellite

08162535

Coming hours — best model, corrected

Best model now: AROME/ARPEGE (MF) · bias -0.2 kn / +4°
TimeModel (raw)CorrectedGust (corr.)
20:00 266° / 6 kn 262° / 6 kn 6 kn
21:00 245° / 6 kn 241° / 6 kn 7 kn
22:00 242° / 7 kn 238° / 7 kn 8 kn
23:00 238° / 5 kn 234° / 6 kn 7 kn
00:00 227° / 4 kn 223° / 5 kn 5 kn
01:00 235° / 6 kn 231° / 6 kn 7 kn
Stavoren IJsselmeer
↓278° 7kn
gust – kn · ▼ -2 · 35 min ago
Stavoren
↓286° 6kn
gust 8 kn · ▬ · 15 min ago
Houtribdijk
↓286° 5kn
gust 7 kn · ▼ -3 · 15 min ago
Markermeer Trintelzand
↓278° 6kn
gust – kn · ▼ -4 · 25 min ago
Rotterdamsehoek IJsselmeer
↓282° 8kn
gust – kn · ▼ -2 · 45 min ago
Markermeer, midden
↓283° 9kn
gust – kn · ▬ · 25 min ago
De Kooy
↓285° 6kn
gust 8 kn · ▼ -2 · 15 min ago
IJmuiden
↓274° 11kn
gust 13 kn · ▼ -3 · 15 min ago

Wind last 6 hours — stations · highlighted: IJmuiden — show all stations again

windgrafiek

Model bias now — rolling 3 h · compare models

Model bias spreiding
TWSTWD TWSTWD
1AROME/ARPEGE (MF)3/7 -0.2 +4° ±1.1 kn ±5°
Harmonie (KNMI)3/7 -0.3 +0° ±1.4 kn ±5°
3ICON (DWD)0/7 -0.3 +2° ±1.6 kn ±6°
4ECMWF IFS1/7 -2.0 -2° ±1.3 kn ±7°
5UKMO0/7 +0.6 +12° ±1.2 kn ±6°
6GFS (NOAA)0/7 -1.2 +0° ±2.0 kn ±7°
bias stable across the window ✓ — correction reliable
Positive: model too strong / veered. Correction in Coming hours = forecast − bias.
4/6 behind a model = how often it ranked first over the last 6 hours.

Run monitor

ModelReceivedLargest shift (12 h)
Harmonie (KNMI) Thu 19:00 Δ 2.3 kn / 31°
AROME/ARPEGE (MF) NEW Thu 19:38 Δ 1.3 kn / 15°
ECMWF IFS Thu 15:43 Δ 0.8 kn / 18°
GFS (NOAA) NEW Thu 19:27 Δ 1.9 kn / 18°
ICON (DWD) Thu 19:00 Δ 1.3 kn / 22°
UKMO NEW Thu 19:38 Δ 1.0 kn / 24°
A large Δ means the model has substantially changed its mind versus its previous run — a reason to review the forecast.