WindCast · Medemblik

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Wind, radar & satellite

08162535

Coming hours — best model, corrected

Best model now: Harmonie (KNMI) · bias -1.0 kn / -1°
TimeModel (raw)CorrectedGust (corr.)
19:00 281° / 8 kn 282° / 9 kn 15 kn
20:00 281° / 5 kn 282° / 6 kn 13 kn
21:00 261° / 4 kn 262° / 5 kn 8 kn
22:00 248° / 5 kn 249° / 6 kn 8 kn
23:00 247° / 4 kn 248° / 4 kn 8 kn
00:00 233° / 4 kn 234° / 5 kn 6 kn
Stavoren IJsselmeer
↓274° 7kn
gust – kn · ▼ -4 · 24 min ago
Stavoren
↓279° 7kn
gust 11 kn · ▼ -3 · 14 min ago
Houtribdijk
↓287° 8kn
gust 12 kn · ▼ -5 · 14 min ago
Markermeer Trintelzand
↓281° 11kn
gust – kn · ▼ -4 · 34 min ago
Rotterdamsehoek IJsselmeer
↓290° 10kn
gust – kn · ▼ -3 · 34 min ago
Markermeer, midden
↓284° 10kn
gust – kn · ▼ -2 · 14 min ago
De Kooy
↓277° 8kn
gust 12 kn · ▬ · 14 min ago
IJmuiden
↓270° 13kn
gust 16 kn · ▬ · 14 min ago

Wind last 6 hours — stations · highlighted: Stavoren — show all stations again

windgrafiek

Model bias now — rolling 3 h · compare models

Model bias spreiding
TWSTWD TWSTWD
1Harmonie (KNMI)3/6 -1.0 -1° ±1.7 kn ±3°
AROME/ARPEGE (MF)2/6 -0.6 +8° ±1.2 kn ±6°
3GFS (NOAA)0/6 -1.3 +2° ±2.0 kn ±4°
4ICON (DWD)0/6 -1.3 +1° ±1.7 kn ±4°
5UKMO0/6 +0.6 +13° ±1.3 kn ±6°
6ECMWF IFS1/6 -2.5 +2° ±1.9 kn ±7°
⚠ bias shifting — conditions are changing; lean on the observations
Positive: model too strong / veered. Correction in Coming hours = forecast − bias.
4/6 behind a model = how often it ranked first over the last 6 hours.

Run monitor

ModelReceivedLargest shift (12 h)
Harmonie (KNMI) NEW Thu 19:00 Δ 2.3 kn / 31°
AROME/ARPEGE (MF) NEW Thu 19:00 Δ 0.5 kn / 9°
ECMWF IFS Thu 15:43 Δ 0.8 kn / 18°
GFS (NOAA) Thu 13:32 Δ 1.5 kn / 10°
ICON (DWD) NEW Thu 19:00 Δ 1.3 kn / 22°
UKMO Thu 17:51 Δ 1.0 kn / 18°
A large Δ means the model has substantially changed its mind versus its previous run — a reason to review the forecast.