WindCast · Muiden

● updated 13:51 · auto-refreshes every 10 min · NL · log in · subscribe

Wind, radar & satellite

08162535

Coming hours — best model, corrected

Best model now: AROME/ARPEGE (MF) · bias +0.9 kn / -3°
TimeModel (raw)CorrectedGust (corr.)
13:00 263° / 28 kn 266° / 28 kn 38 kn
14:00 263° / 28 kn 266° / 28 kn 38 kn
15:00 269° / 28 kn 272° / 27 kn 37 kn
16:00 269° / 29 kn 272° / 28 kn 39 kn
17:00 270° / 29 kn 273° / 28 kn 38 kn
18:00 274° / 30 kn 277° / 29 kn 41 kn

Model bias now — rolling 3 h · compare models

Model bias spread
TWSTWD TWSTWD
1AROME/ARPEGE (MF)4/6 +0.9 -3° ±1.5 ±3°
ICON (DWD)2/6 -0.9 +1° ±1.9 ±4°
3Harmonie (KNMI)0/6 -0.0 -0° ±2.1 ±2°
4UKMO0/6 -3.5 +1° ±3.0 ±3°
5GFS (NOAA)0/6 -2.0 +0° ±6.0 ±2°
6ECMWF IFS0/6 -6.7 -0° ±4.9 ±4°
bias stable across the window ✓ — correction reliable
Positive: model too strong / veered. Correction in Coming hours = forecast − bias.
4/6 behind a model = how often it ranked first over the last 6 hours.
Schiphol
↓266° 26kn
gust 36 kn · ▬ · 16 min ago
Markermeer, midden
↓265° 28kn
gust – kn · ▼ -2 · 26 min ago
Lelystad
↓263° 21kn
gust 31 kn · ▬ · 16 min ago
IJmuiden
↓264° 37kn
gust 49 kn · ▬ · 16 min ago
Houtribdijk
↓262° 28kn
gust 37 kn · ▬ · 16 min ago
Stavoren
↓257° 28kn
gust 38 kn · ▬ · 16 min ago

Wind last 6 hours — stations · highlighted: Lelystad — show all stations again

windgrafiek

Run monitor

ModelReceivedLargest shift (12 h)
Harmonie (KNMI) NEW Sun 13:51 Δ 2.1 kn / 6°
AROME/ARPEGE (MF) NEW Sun 13:51 Δ 2.0 kn / 3°
ECMWF IFS Sun 10:50 Δ 1.5 kn / 3°
GFS (NOAA) Sun 12:38 Δ 0.8 kn / 3°
ICON (DWD) Sun 12:00 Δ 1.7 kn / 5°
UKMO NEW Sun 13:51 Δ 1.4 kn / 8°
A large Δ means the model has substantially changed its mind versus its previous run — a reason to review the forecast.
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