WindCast · Muiden

● updated 12:38 · auto-refreshes every 10 min · NL · log in · subscribe

Wind, radar & satellite

08162535

Coming hours — best model, corrected

Best model now: AROME/ARPEGE (MF) · bias +0.7 kn / -1°

Time	Model (raw)	Corrected	Gust (corr.)
12:00	262° / 27 kn	263° / 26 kn	36 kn
13:00	262° / 28 kn	263° / 27 kn	39 kn
14:00	260° / 29 kn	261° / 28 kn	39 kn
15:00	267° / 30 kn	268° / 29 kn	40 kn
16:00	267° / 30 kn	268° / 29 kn	40 kn
17:00	268° / 29 kn	269° / 29 kn	40 kn

Model bias now — rolling 3 h · compare models

	Model	bias		spread
	Model	TWS	TWD	TWS	TWD
1	AROME/ARPEGE (MF)6/7	+0.7	-1°	±1.5	±3°
	ICON (DWD)1/7	-0.4	+3°	±1.8	±3°
3	Harmonie (KNMI)0/7	+0.2	-1°	±2.1	±2°
4	UKMO0/7	-3.4	+2°	±2.9	±3°
5	GFS (NOAA)0/7	-2.3	+1°	±5.9	±3°
6	ECMWF IFS0/7	-7.1	-2°	±5.1	±4°

bias stable across the window ✓ — correction reliable
Positive: model too strong / veered. Correction in Coming hours = forecast − bias.
4/6 behind a model = how often it ranked first over the last 6 hours.

Schiphol

↓262° 24kn

gust 34 kn · ▼ -4 · 21 min ago

Markermeer, midden

↓269° 24kn

gust – kn · ▼ -4 · 31 min ago

Lelystad

↓258° 18kn

gust 29 kn · ▬ · 21 min ago

IJmuiden

↓265° 36kn

gust 45 kn · ▼ -2 · 21 min ago

Houtribdijk

↓268° 33kn

gust 45 kn · ▲ +3 · 21 min ago

Stavoren

↓253° 26kn

gust 38 kn · ▬ · 21 min ago

Wind last 6 hours — stations · highlighted: Schiphol — show all stations again

Run monitor

Model	Received	Largest shift (12 h)
Harmonie (KNMI)	NEW Sun 12:38	Δ 1.7 kn / 4°
AROME/ARPEGE (MF)	NEW Sun 12:38	Δ 2.0 kn / 4°
ECMWF IFS	Sun 10:50	Δ 1.5 kn / 3°
GFS (NOAA)	NEW Sun 12:38	Δ 0.8 kn / 3°
ICON (DWD)	NEW Sun 12:00	Δ 1.7 kn / 5°
UKMO	NEW Sun 12:38	Δ 2.1 kn / 6°

A large Δ means the model has substantially changed its mind versus its previous run — a reason to review the forecast.

WindCast is expanding

More sailing areas, more features. Leave your email and we'll let you know as soon as your area goes live on windcast.pro.