WindCast · Muiden

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Wind, radar & satellite

08162535

Coming hours — best model, corrected

Best model now: AROME/ARPEGE (MF) · bias +0.7 kn / -1°
TimeModel (raw)CorrectedGust (corr.)
12:00 262° / 27 kn 263° / 26 kn 36 kn
13:00 262° / 28 kn 263° / 27 kn 39 kn
14:00 260° / 29 kn 261° / 28 kn 39 kn
15:00 267° / 30 kn 268° / 29 kn 40 kn
16:00 267° / 30 kn 268° / 29 kn 40 kn
17:00 268° / 29 kn 269° / 29 kn 40 kn

Model bias now — rolling 3 h · compare models

Model bias spread
TWSTWD TWSTWD
1AROME/ARPEGE (MF)6/7 +0.7 -1° ±1.5 ±3°
ICON (DWD)1/7 -0.4 +3° ±1.8 ±3°
3Harmonie (KNMI)0/7 +0.2 -1° ±2.1 ±2°
4UKMO0/7 -3.4 +2° ±2.9 ±3°
5GFS (NOAA)0/7 -2.3 +1° ±5.9 ±3°
6ECMWF IFS0/7 -7.1 -2° ±5.1 ±4°
bias stable across the window ✓ — correction reliable
Positive: model too strong / veered. Correction in Coming hours = forecast − bias.
4/6 behind a model = how often it ranked first over the last 6 hours.
Schiphol
↓262° 24kn
gust 34 kn · ▼ -4 · 20 min ago
Markermeer, midden
↓269° 24kn
gust – kn · ▼ -4 · 30 min ago
Lelystad
↓258° 18kn
gust 29 kn · ▬ · 20 min ago
IJmuiden
↓265° 36kn
gust 45 kn · ▼ -2 · 20 min ago
Houtribdijk
↓268° 33kn
gust 45 kn · ▲ +3 · 20 min ago
Stavoren
↓253° 26kn
gust 38 kn · ▬ · 20 min ago

Wind last 6 hours — stations · highlighted: Markermeer, midden — show all stations again

windgrafiek

Run monitor

ModelReceivedLargest shift (12 h)
Harmonie (KNMI) NEW Sun 12:38 Δ 1.7 kn / 4°
AROME/ARPEGE (MF) NEW Sun 12:38 Δ 2.0 kn / 4°
ECMWF IFS Sun 10:50 Δ 1.5 kn / 3°
GFS (NOAA) NEW Sun 12:38 Δ 0.8 kn / 3°
ICON (DWD) NEW Sun 12:00 Δ 1.7 kn / 5°
UKMO NEW Sun 12:38 Δ 2.1 kn / 6°
A large Δ means the model has substantially changed its mind versus its previous run — a reason to review the forecast.
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